기본 정보
연구 분야
프로젝트
논문
구성원
peer-review|
gold
·인용수 0
·2025
Reply on RC2
Sujong Jeong
초록

<strong class="journal-contentHeaderColor">Abstract.</strong> Accurate carbon emission estimates are essential for guiding climate action toward net zero emissions by 2050. The Bayesian inverse method, combined with atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> measurements and the transport model, can serve as an independent verification approach to improve accuracy. In this study, we developed a Bayesian inverse modelling framework using ground- and space-based measurements and applied it to Seoul to test the framework and constrain its CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. By leveraging the high temporal resolution of ground-based in situ observations and the broad spatial coverage of satellite data, we improved the accuracy of emission estimates. Our results indicate a 4.43 % increase in posterior emissions compared to prior estimates, suggesting that the prior emissions were slightly underestimated. The spatiotemporal variability of posterior emissions increased significantly, enabling us to track CO<sub>2</sub> fluctuations and assess the impact of carbon reduction policies over time and space. Additionally, the mean absolute error was reduced, improving the agreement between simulated and observed CO<sub>2</sub> enhancements. We thoroughly investigated the performance of the inverse model through a sensitivity analysis that considered different observational network configurations. The most substantial reductions in uncertainties (19.2 %) were observed when all available observations were used. The extensive coverage of satellite observations enabled further corrections in areas not covered by ground observations. Overall, this study highlights the importance of combining multiple observational sources to better constrain urban CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. The framework also shows strong potential for application in other cities and can support the development of effective climate mitigation policies.

키워드
Bayesian probabilitySatelliteSensitivity (control systems)Baseline (sea)Climate changeInverseObservational studyClimate model
타입
peer-review
IF / 인용수
- / 0
게재 연도
2025

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