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인용수 9
·2023
Remember Kabul? Reputation, strategic contexts, and American credibility after the Afghanistan withdrawal
D.G. Kim, Joshua Byun, Jiyoung Ko
IF 5Contemporary Security Policy
초록

We examine how a great power's past behavior toward an informal security partner affects the broader credibility of its security commitments, focusing on the implications of America's dramatic troop withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021 as perceived by the U.S., South Korean, and Chinese publics. Against conventional wisdom, we show that knowledge about a great power's decision to abandon an informal partner in one region of the globe can help increase confidence about its alliance commitments elsewhere. Our survey experiments identify a striking disjuncture: Although Americans tend to believe that the abandonment decision in Afghanistan will hurt their country's credibility in East Asia, no such effect is found in South Korea and China. In fact, East Asian respondents who are reminded of the Afghanistan withdrawal become more confident about American security commitments when alerted to the possibility that this decision will help Washington to concentrate additional military capabilities in their region.

키워드
CredibilityAllianceChinaGlobeReputationAbandonment (legal)East AsiaPolitical sciencePower (physics)Great power
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article
IF / 인용수
5 / 9
게재 연도
2023