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인용수 2
·2024
Deep Latent Factor Model for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Wonmo Koo, Eun-Yeol Ma, Heeyoung Kim
IF 2.5Technometrics
초록

Latent factor models can perform spatio-temporal forecasting (i.e., predicting future responses at unmeasured as well as measured locations) by modeling temporal dependence using latent factors and considering spatial dependence using a spatial prior on factor loadings. However, they may fail to capture complex spatio-temporal dependence because the latent factors are typically assumed to follow a classical linear time series model, such as a vector autoregressive model. In this article, we propose a deep latent factor model for spatio-temporal forecasting that can model complex spatio-temporal dependence more flexibly by leveraging the high expressive power of a deep neural network. Specifically, the latent factors are modeled using a recurrent neural network and the factor loadings are modeled using a distance-based Gaussian process. The proposed model allows the number of latent factors to be inferred from the data using a beta-Bernoulli process, which enables computationally more efficient implementation compared to previous methods. We derive a stochastic variational inference algorithm for scalable inference of the proposed model and validate the model using simulated and real data examples.

키워드
Factor analysisInferenceComputer scienceAutoregressive modelArtificial intelligenceGaussian processArtificial neural networkLatent variableMachine learningData mining
타입
article
IF / 인용수
2.5 / 2
게재 연도
2024

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