오인하 연구실은 자원·환경경제와 에너지모델링을 기반으로 재생에너지 확대, 탄소규제, 에너지서비스산업, 4차 산업혁명 등 주요 정책 변화가 한국 경제의 산업구조, 고용, 소득분배, 환경성과에 미치는 영향을 분석하며, 특히 계산가능일반균형(CGE) 모형을 활용해 지속가능발전과 녹색성장을 위한 실증적 정책평가 연구를 수행한다.
Impact of renewable energy expansion policies on the economy, income distribution, and air pollution reduction
Inha Oh, Kihwan Kim
IF 4.8
Energy & Environment
This study employs a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model to evaluate the consequences of renewable energy (RE) expansion policies in South Korea, focusing on their impact on the economy, income distribution, and air pollution reduction. It assumes a scenario in which RE generation constitutes 20% of the total electricity generation by 2030. Various scenarios are explored, including those with and without emission regulations and those considering increased productivity of RE technology. Key findings suggest that expanding RE policies stimulates labor demand and revitalizes upstream industries. However, its effectiveness depends on increasing the efficiency of RE technologies. Carbon regulation, such as emissions trading schemes, reduces greenhouse gases and air pollutants, with environmental benefits outweighing GDP reductions. It decreases income inequality, whereas policies to promote RE exacerbate it, requiring corrective measures. Nevertheless, productivity improvements in the RE sector enhance income distribution.